By taking this position these councils have unwittingly exposed themselves to:
- Escalating maintenance service costs
- Compromised maintenance outcomes - if their constrained budgets cannot cover these escalating costs; and potentially
- Reduced competition levels for future tenders of maintenance services - if maintenance contractors cannot secure sites within viable distances from the municipality.
Future scenarios
Predicting the future always requires speculation. In performing our analysis, we tested the following scenarios, which were scoped up with our local government clients:
- Scenario 1: Both maintenance contractors (open space + civil assets) continue to be accommodated on their current sites within the municipality.
- Scenario 2: The open space contractor is forced to relocate but the civil assets contractor retains its current site within the municipality.
- Scenario 3: Both the open space and maintenance contractors are forced to relocate, as they lose access to their current sites.
Two factors drove the costs associated with each scenario: the “timing” of any forced relocation and the “location” of available sites for accommodating maintenance contractors.
Given the tightness of the land market and the ongoing urban renewal pressures that exist in inner city areas, we made sure that any future contractor depot sites would be located in designated industrial areas that would not be compromised in future. Our GIS mapping of the metropolis highlighted that catchments of within 10 minutes, 45 minutes and 60 minutes of the municipality would cover all plausible outcomes in terms of future site availability.
Moreover, because maintenance contracts are let over the medium term (generally 7 years), we assumed that a relocation would be forced at least once during our 20 year period of analysis. We assumed that this relocation would be forced in either Year 7 or Year 14 of the analysis. This accords with the conventional practice of maintenance contractors, who lease depot sites for the period of their service contract, recognising that:
- Contractors cannot hold onto depots outside of their contract periods, reflecting the risk of contract loss to competitors at contract expiry, and
- Contractors cannot secure lease terms for anything longer than the medium term, as landowners wish to preserve their inner city redevelopment options.
Findings
Our financial analysis explored the costs to council linked with contractors:
- Securing sufficient land to accommodate depot facilities
- Performing capital works to construct modest depot facilities
- Moving to/from the depot while delivering its contracted services on a daily basis.
Our economic analysis added some externalities to the above costs, including the amenity impacts experienced by the neighbours of depots and the environmental impacts generated by the contractors’ transport movements.
Interestingly, the transport costs (excluding environmental externalities) accounted for more than three-quarters of total costs in all the scenarios tested. This is before any impacts linked with future road pricing or regulation come into play.